![]() Soon, some promising names began to drop off as their films lost momentum, such as Cyrano’s Peter Dinklage or C’mon C’mon’s Joaquin Phoenix. Katey RichĪt the start of the season many months ago, it seemed as if, for the first time in a few years, the best-actor race would actually be a crowded and competitive one. ![]() In what feels like a very, very close race between The Power of the Dog and CODA, either outcome feels almost equally possible. But don’t believe anyone who tells you confidently they know what will happen here. Past data points can only take you so far, but the parallels between CODA and Little Miss Sunshine are persuasive-and given the introduction of the preferential ballot since Little Miss Sunshine lost best picture to The Departed, we’re predicting a different end to that story this time. Or do they go with their hearts and go with CODA, something more along the lines of Green Book or The King’s Speech. So the question is whether Academy voters will vote with their brains and go for The Power of the Dog, a best-picture winner that would be in the vein of recent winners Nomadland and 12 Years a Slave. But then there is CODA, which despite its quiet August release has been experiencing a late surge in momentum, with top SAG, PGA, and WGA Awards bolstering it as the potential feel-good alternative to Jane Campion’s arty and occasionally vicious Western. ![]() The Power of the Dog, the most nominated film and a near certain best-director winner, won the DGA Award, the Critics Choice Award, the BAFTA, and a slew of other critics’ prizes, making it the odds-on front-runner for months now. ![]() The best-picture race has come down to two films, both of which have the power of precedent on their side. ![]()
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